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Portugal · Primeira Liga · Sun 8 Nov · 15:30
21st · 2 pts · -14 GD
VS
Kick-off
17th · 8 pts · -17 GD
47%
Estoril
26%
Draw
27%
Maritimo
Bookmakers say
46% / 27% / 27%
Where we differ most
H 0%
Safest read
Home or away win (12) · we say 74%
Our safest read is Home or away win (12) at 74%; the bookmakers say 73%.
Both teams to score
59%
Over 2.5 goals
51%
Consensus
1X2
Home 100%
BTTS
Yes 100%
O/U 2.5
Over 100%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Home | Yes | Over | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Home | - | Over | - |
No meetings between these clubs in our records. Our history covers recent seasons, so an older cup tie may not appear.
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Estoril | 1348 | 1.04 | 1.36 |
| Maritimo | 1413 | 0.99 | 1.42 |
Maritimo rated 65 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with Pro| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
| Home |
| Yes |
| Over |
| 58% |
“Estoril has a 46.76% model probability vs Maritimo's 27.06%, with a +0.0042 edge favoring home.” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Home | Yes | Over | 55% |
“The model gives Estoril a 46.76% chance to win, the highest among the three outcomes, and their attack rating (1.038) is stronger than Maritimo's defence (2.116).” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Home | Yes | Over | 65% |
“Estoril has a significantly higher probability of winning at 46.76% compared to Maritimo's 27.06%.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Home | Yes | Over | 70% |
“Model gives Estoril a 46.8% win probability (home 0.4676) and the double chance 12 at 73.83% (model 0.7383), while BTTS is 58.78% (Y) and O2.5 is 51.2% (O).” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Home | Yes | Over | 60% |
“The model gives Estoril a 46.76% chance of winning (1X2), and they have a slightly stronger attack and defence rating than Maritimo; Estoril's DC rating is 0.962 attack and 1.57 defence vs Maritimo's 0.74 and 2.165.” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Home | Yes | Over | 58% |
“Our model shows a slight edge for Over 2.5 goals (51.2% vs market 50.6%) and predicts BTTS Yes at 58.78%.” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.