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Scotland · Premiership · Sat 7 Nov · 15:00
1st · 34 pts · +3 GD
1:1
Full time
8th · 13 pts · -6 GD
46%
Dundee
25%
Draw
29%
Motherwell
Bookmakers say
47% / 24% / 28%
Where we differ most
A 1%
Safest read
Home or away win (12) · we say 75%
Our safest read is Home or away win (12) at 75%; the bookmakers say 76%.
Both teams to score
52%
Over 2.5 goals
60%
Consensus
1X2
Home 100%
BTTS
Yes 100%
O/U 2.5
Over 88%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Home | Yes | Over | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Home | - | Over | - |
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dundee | 1379 | 0.88 | 1.30 |
| Motherwell | 1461 | 1.07 | 0.99 |
Motherwell rated 82 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with ProDundee 1-1 Motherwell. Our model leaned Dundee to win (46%) and got this one wrong. Picks: Both teams to score won (+0.0u), Home or away lost (0.0u), O lost (0.0u), Dundee to win lost (-10.0u).
| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
| Home |
| Yes |
| Over |
| 62% |
“Dundee (1st place, 1453.5 ELO) are clear favorites with 45.66% model probability vs Motherwell's 29.34%, supported by superior defensive rating (1.326 vs 1.038).” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Home | Yes | Over | 65% |
“Dundee are top of the league and our model gives them a 45.7% win probability, the highest among the three outcomes, while Motherwell are in poor form with recent losses.” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Home | Yes | Over | 70% |
“Dundee has a 45.66% chance of winning according to our model, compared to Motherwell's 29.34%.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Home | Yes | Over | 62% |
“Model gives Dundee 45.66% vs Motherwell 29.34% (draw 25.00%) and the DC '12' probability is 75.02%, so double chance 12 is the safest single bet.” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Home | Yes | Over | 70% |
“The model predicts 60.06% chance of over 2.5 goals (OU25), aligning with the market probability of 61.07%; Dundee has a slight home advantage with a 46.42% chance of winning.” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Home | Yes | Under | 68% |
“Dundee are stronger at home with a 45.66% win probability and higher form, while the model shows a 70.69% chance of Dundee avoiding defeat (1X).” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.