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Scotland · Premiership · Sat 7 Nov · 15:00
6th · 17 pts · -3 GD
2:1
Full time
1st · 34 pts · +3 GD
40%
St Johnstone
26%
Draw
34%
Dundee
Bookmakers say
39% / 26% / 35%
Where we differ most
H 0%
Safest read
Home or away win (12) · we say 74%
Our safest read is Home or away win (12) at 74%; the bookmakers say 74%. The value angle is H:0 at 1.77: we say 52%.
Both teams to score
53%
Over 2.5 goals
55%
Consensus
1X2
Home 100%
BTTS
Yes 100%
O/U 2.5
Over 100%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Home | Yes | Over | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Home | - | Over | - |
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| St Johnstone | 1443 | 0.91 | 1.11 |
| Dundee | 1379 | 0.88 | 1.30 |
St Johnstone rated 64 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with ProSt Johnstone 2-1 Dundee. Our model leaned St Johnstone to win (40%) and called it right. Picks: H:0 won (+7.7u), Both teams to score won (+0.0u), Home or away won (+0.0u), O won (+0.0u).
| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
| Home |
| Yes |
| Over |
| 62% |
“St Johnstone has a 40.71% model probability vs Dundee's 33.23%, supported by superior Elo rating (1453.5 vs 1428.3) and league position (1st vs 6th).” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Home | Yes | Over | 58% |
“The model gives BTTS a 53.3% probability, the highest among the close markets, and both teams have recent high-scoring form.” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Home | Yes | Over | 65% |
“St Johnstone has a 40.71% chance of winning according to our model, which is higher than the market's 39.92%.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Home | Yes | Over | 74% |
“The model favours St Johnstone at 40.71% vs Dundee 33.23% and a draw 26.06%, so home is the single-match pick.” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Home | Yes | Over | 70% |
“The model predicts 55.52% chance of over 2.5 goals (OU25), and both teams have relatively weak defences (Dundee: 1.326, St Johnstone: 1.359), supporting the 'over' bet.” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Home | Yes | Over | 58% |
“The model gives a 53.29% chance for both teams to score, slightly above the bookmakers' 55.96% implied probability, with a small edge.” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.