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Scotland · Premiership · Sat 7 Nov · 17:45
10th · 11 pts · -6 GD
0:4
Full time
9th · 11 pts · -2 GD
38%
Aberdeen
27%
Draw
35%
Hibernian
Bookmakers say
39% / 27% / 35%
Where we differ most
D 0%
Safest read
Home or away win (12) · we say 73%
Our safest read is Home or away win (12) at 73%; the bookmakers say 73%. The value angle is H:0 at 1.78: we say 51%.
Both teams to score
46%
Over 2.5 goals
53%
Consensus
1X2
Home 100%
BTTS
No 100%
O/U 2.5
Over 62%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Home | No | Over | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Home | - | Over | - |
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aberdeen | 1375 | 0.75 | 1.20 |
| Hibernian | 1449 | 1.02 | 1.07 |
Hibernian rated 73 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with ProAberdeen 0-4 Hibernian. Our model leaned Aberdeen to win (38%) and got this one wrong. Picks: H:0 lost (-10.0u), Both teams to score: No won (+0.0u), Home or away won (+0.0u), O won (+0.0u).
| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
| Home |
| No |
| Over |
| 52% |
“Aberdeen has a slight model edge at 37.84% vs Hibernian's 35.15%, supported by better attacking ratings (1.017 vs 0.743 Poisson) and higher Elo (1425.1 vs 1364.9).” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Home | No | Under | 54% |
“Our model gives BTTS-No a 54.2% probability, and Aberdeen's defence rating (1.226) suggests they can keep a clean sheet against Hibernian's poor recent form (one win in six).” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Home | No | Under | 65% |
“The model predicts BTTS 'No' with a 54.23% probability, indicating a higher likelihood of at least one team failing to score.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Home | No | Over | 70% |
“Model gives Aberdeen 37.84%, draw 27.01% and Hibernian 35.15%, so I marginally back the home win (H).” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Home | No | Over | 60% |
“The model gives 53.49% chance of over 2.5 goals (OU25), and bookmakers' margin-free odds imply 45.39% (probs.market.OU25).” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Home | No | Under | 52% |
“Aberdeen are slight favorites with a 37.84% model chance to win, and the DC 1X at 64.86% combines their win and draw probability.” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.