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Scotland · Championship · Sat 7 Nov · 15:00
7th · 14 pts · -12 GD
4:1
Full time
13th · 3 pts · -2 GD
32%
Arbroath
28%
Draw
40%
Ayr Utd
Bookmakers say
32% / 29% / 39%
Where we differ most
A 0%
Safest read
Home or away win (12) · we say 72%
Our safest read is Home or away win (12) at 72%; the bookmakers say 71%.
Both teams to score
48%
Over 2.5 goals
44%
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arbroath | 1400 | - | - |
| Ayr Utd | 1432 | - | - |
Ayr Utd rated 32 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with ProArbroath 4-1 Ayr Utd. Our model leaned Ayr Utd to win (40%) and got this one wrong. Picks: A:0.25 lost (-10.0u), Both teams to score: No lost (0.0u), Home or away won (+0.0u), U lost (0.0u).
Consensus
1X2
Away 100%
BTTS
No 100%
O/U 2.5
Under 100%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Away | No | Under | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Away | - | Under | - |
| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
| Away |
| No |
| Under |
| 62% |
“Ayr Utd has a significant ELO advantage (1447.8 vs 1358.9) and our model gives them 43.6% win probability versus Arbroath's 29.1%.” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Away | No | Under | 65% |
“The model gives a 57% chance for Under 2.5 goals, and Arbroath's poor form (five straight losses) suggests a low-scoring, defensive struggle.” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Away | No | Under | 70% |
“Ayr Utd has a significantly higher model probability of winning at 0.4361 compared to Arbroath's 0.2912.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Away | No | Under | 70% |
“The model gives double-chance 12 a 72.73% probability, with Ayr Utd the single favourite at 43.61% vs Arbroath 29.12%.” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Away | No | Under | 60% |
“The model gives Ayr Utd (away) a 43.61% chance of winning, higher than Arbroath (home) at 29.12% or a draw at 27.27%; Ayr Utd's Elo rating is also higher at 1447.8 vs 1358.9.” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Away | No | Under | 68% |
“The model gives Ayr Utd a 43.61% chance to win versus Arbroath's 29.12%, supported by Ayr's higher ELO (1447.8 vs 1358.9) and better recent form.” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.