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Scotland · Championship · Sat 7 Nov · 15:00
8th · 13 pts · -7 GD
4:3
Full time
3rd · 23 pts
35%
Morton
28%
Draw
37%
Stenhousemuir
Bookmakers say
35% / 28% / 37%
Where we differ most
D 0%
Safest read
Home or away win (12) · we say 72%
Our safest read is Home or away win (12) at 72%; the bookmakers say 72%.
Both teams to score
48%
Over 2.5 goals
45%
Consensus
1X2
Away 88%
BTTS
No 100%
O/U 2.5
Under 100%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Away | No | Under | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Away | - | Under | - |
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Morton | 1363 | - | - |
| Stenhousemuir | 1485 | - | - |
Stenhousemuir rated 122 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with ProMorton 4-3 Stenhousemuir. Our model leaned Stenhousemuir to win (37%) and got this one wrong. Picks: Both teams to score: No lost (0.0u), Home or away won (+0.0u), U lost (0.0u), H:0 won (+8.9u).
| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
| Home |
| No |
| Under |
| 52% |
“Morton (home) has slight model edge at 34.78% vs Stenhousemuir's 37.22%, but Morton's recent form is superior (3 wins in last 6) and they're ranked 3rd vs 9th in the table.” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Away | No | Under | 58% |
“The model gives a 58.3% probability for Under 2.5 goals, and Stenhousemuir has a higher Elo rating (1444) and superior table position (3rd vs 9th).” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Away | No | Under | 65% |
“The model predicts an away win with 37.22% probability, slightly higher than a home win at 34.78%.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Away | No | Under | 65% |
“The model gives Stenhousemuir (away) 37.22% vs Morton 34.78% (draw 28.00%), and double chance X2 is 65.22%, so X2 is the clearest edge.” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Away | No | Under | 60% |
“The model gives away team a 37.22% chance of winning, which is the highest probability among the three outcomes; Stenhousemuir is in a better table position (3rd vs 9th) and has a slightly higher Elo rating (1444.0 vs 1391.2).” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Away | No | Under | 65% |
“Stenhousemuir has a higher ELO (1444) and better table position (3rd) than Morton (9th, ELO 1391), supporting the away advantage.” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.