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Scotland · League One · Sat 7 Nov · 15:00
10th · 12 pts · -2 GD
VS
Kick-off
7th · 13 pts · -10 GD
39%
Alloa
26%
Draw
35%
Airdrie Utd
Bookmakers say
38% / 26% / 36%
Where we differ most
H 1%
Safest read
Home or away win (12) · we say 74%
Our safest read is Home or away win (12) at 74%; the bookmakers say 74%.
Both teams to score
55%
Over 2.5 goals
51%
Consensus
1X2
Home 100%
BTTS
Yes 100%
O/U 2.5
Over 100%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Home | Yes | Over | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Home | - | Over | - |
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alloa | 1432 | - | - |
| Airdrie Utd | 1424 | - | - |
Alloa rated 8 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with Pro| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
| Home |
| Yes |
| Over |
| 52% |
“Model gives Alloa 38.68% win probability with a slight +0.69% edge over market (37.99%), while OU2.5 shows minimal edge (+0.04%) but strong model probability of 51.26%.” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Home | Yes | Over | 51% |
“Our model gives Alloa a slight edge (38.7% vs 35.4% for Airdrie) and they are higher in the table, while both teams' recent form suggests goals are likely (BTTS model: 54.5%).” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Home | Yes | Over | 65% |
“Alloa has a slightly higher model probability of winning at 0.3868 compared to Airdrie Utd's 0.3538.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Home | Yes | Over | 70% |
“Model gives Double Chance 12 (no draw) a 0.7407 probability versus a draw at 0.2595, so DC 12 is the standout play; Alloa is slightly favoured (H 0.3868 vs A 0.3538).” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Home | Yes | Over | 60% |
“The model predicts a 51.26% chance of over 2.5 goals, and the market odds imply a similar probability (51.22%), indicating a slight edge for 'over'; both teams have shown inconsistent form but have been involved in matches with goals.” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Home | Yes | Over | 52% |
“Our model gives Alloa (H) a 38.68% chance to win, slightly above the market's 37.99%, creating a small positive edge of 0.0069.” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.