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Spain · La Liga · Fri 6 Nov · 20:00
6th · 18 pts · -2 GD
0:0
Full time
10th · 13 pts · -2 GD
52%
Sevilla
27%
Draw
21%
Alaves
Bookmakers say
52% / 27% / 21%
Where we differ most
A 0%
Safest read
Home win or draw (1X) · we say 79%
Our safest read is Home win or draw (1X) at 79%; the bookmakers say 79%.
Both teams to score
56%
Over 2.5 goals
43%
Consensus
1X2
Home 88%
BTTS
Yes 100%
O/U 2.5
Under 100%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Home | Yes | Under | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Home | - | Under | - |
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla | 1423 | 0.87 | 1.29 |
| Alaves | 1414 | 0.86 | 1.23 |
Sevilla rated 9 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with ProSevilla 0-0 Alaves. Our model leaned Sevilla to win (52%) and got this one wrong. Picks: Both teams to score lost (0.0u), Home or draw won (+0.0u), Sevilla to win lost (0.0u), U won (+0.0u).
| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
| Home |
| Yes |
| Under |
| 52% |
“Sevilla's model probability of 49.62% for home win slightly edges the market at 49.72%, with a marginal +0.1% edge.” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Home | Yes | Under | 58% |
“Our model gives Sevilla a 49.6% win probability, the highest among outcomes, and the Under 2.5 goals has a 57.1% probability with a positive edge over the market.” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Home | Yes | Under | 65% |
“Sevilla has a 49.62% chance of winning according to our model, significantly higher than Alaves' 22.93%.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Home | Yes | Under | 70% |
“Model gives Sevilla 49.62%, draw 27.44% and Alavés 22.93% with the 1X double chance at 77.07%, so home/not-loss is the strongest play.” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | 1X | Yes | Under | 70% |
“Sevilla has a 77.07% chance of not losing according to the model's DC probabilities, and both teams have a relatively high chance of scoring (BTTS Y: 56.21%).” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Home | Yes | Under | 68% |
“The model gives a 57.07% chance of under 2.5 goals, with a positive edge of 0.008 against the market.” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.