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Spain · La Liga · Sat 7 Nov · 20:00
19th · 9 pts · -12 GD
0:3
Full time
2nd · 30 pts · +21 GD
9%
Valencia
15%
Draw
76%
Real Madrid
Bookmakers say
9% / 14% / 77%
Where we differ most
D 1%
Safest read
Draw or away win (X2) · we say 91%
Our safest read is Draw or away win (X2) at 91%; the bookmakers say 91%.
Both teams to score
49%
Over 2.5 goals
67%
Consensus
1X2
Away 100%
BTTS
No 71%
O/U 2.5
Over 62%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Away | No | Over | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Away | - | Over | - |
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia | 1398 | 0.78 | 1.29 |
| Real Madrid | 1649 | 1.43 | 0.84 |
Real Madrid rated 250 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with ProValencia 0-3 Real Madrid. Our model leaned Real Madrid to win (76%) and called it right. Picks: Both teams to score: No won (+0.0u), Real Madrid to win won (+0.0u), O won (+0.0u), Real Madrid to win won (+2.7u).
| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
| Away |
| Yes |
| Under |
| 62% |
“Real Madrid's dominant form (6 wins, including 4-3 away) and elite ratings (1649.5 elo, 1.556 attack) heavily favor an away victory with 76.1% model probability vs Valencia's struggling position (19th, 1404.8 elo).” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Away | No | Under | 68% |
“The model gives Real Madrid a 76% win probability and a 51% chance for BTTS No, while the OU25 edge favors Under (model 33% vs market 31%).” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Away | No | Over | 85% |
“Real Madrid has a very high win probability of 0.7614 according to our model, significantly higher than Valencia's 0.0946.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Away | No | Over | 85% |
“Model gives Real Madrid a 76.14% win chance (model A=0.7614) and they arrive on a six-match winning run while Valencia sit 19th with 9 pts; over 2.5 is also likely (model O=0.6723), but the clearest call is the away win.” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Away | Yes | Over | 70% |
“The model gives Real Madrid (away) a 76.14% chance of winning (1X2), with Valencia (home) having only a 9.46% chance; the away team's strong form and higher ratings (ELO: 1649.5 vs 1404.8) support this prediction.” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Away | No | Under | 78% |
“Real Madrid have a 76.14% model probability to win, with strong form and superior ratings (attack 1.555 vs 0.793).” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.