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Spain · La Liga · Sun 8 Nov · 17:30
12th · 12 pts
VS
Kick-off
18th · 10 pts · -5 GD
52%
Celta
26%
Draw
22%
Levante
Bookmakers say
52% / 26% / 23%
Where we differ most
D 0%
Safest read
Home win or draw (1X) · we say 78%
Our safest read is Home win or draw (1X) at 78%; the bookmakers say 77%.
Both teams to score
52%
Over 2.5 goals
50%
Consensus
1X2
Home 100%
BTTS
Yes 100%
O/U 2.5
Under 100%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Home | Yes | Under | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Home | - | Under | - |
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Celta | 1443 | 0.90 | 1.08 |
| Levante | 1403 | 0.91 | 1.44 |
Celta rated 40 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with Pro| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
| Home |
| Yes |
| Under |
| 52% |
“Celta has a 51.58% win probability with a +0.0002 edge, supported by superior Elo rating (1429.5 vs 1396.1) and better home form despite recent struggles.” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Home | Yes | Under | 58% |
“The model gives a 51.56% chance for a home win, but Celta's recent form is poor (LLD in last 3 league/EL games) and Levante's defence rating is strong (1.35), making a high-scoring game unlikely; the OU25 model probability is nearly 50/50 (O 49.65%, U 50.35%), but the slight edge and tip favour Under.” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Home | Yes | Under | 65% |
“Celta has a 51.58% chance of winning according to our model, significantly higher than Levante's 22.61%.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Home | Yes | Under | 70% |
“Model gives Celta a 0.5158 chance to win and the double-chance 1X probability is 0.7739, making 1X the strongest single play.” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Home | Yes | Under | 60% |
“The model gives Celta a 51.58% chance of winning (H), with a slight edge over the market; both teams to score is also likely at 51.44%.” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Home | Yes | Under | 52% |
“The model shows a slight edge for Under 2.5 goals (0.5035 vs market 0.503) and predicts Over 0.5 goals at 92%, indicating low-scoring likelihood.” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.