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Spain · Segunda Division · Sat 7 Nov · 15:15
19th · 11 pts · -2 GD
1:2
Full time
9th · 21 pts · +3 GD
34%
Cadiz
28%
Draw
38%
Oviedo
Bookmakers say
34% / 29% / 37%
Where we differ most
A 1%
Safest read
Home or away win (12) · we say 72%
Our safest read is Home or away win (12) at 72%; the bookmakers say 71%. The value angle is H:0 at 1.94: we say 43%.
Both teams to score
49%
Over 2.5 goals
45%
Consensus
1X2
Away 100%
BTTS
No 71%
O/U 2.5
Under 100%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Away | No | Under | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Away | - | Under | - |
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cadiz | 1336 | 0.78 | 1.27 |
| Oviedo | 1369 | 0.86 | 1.03 |
Oviedo rated 33 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with ProCadiz 1-2 Oviedo. Our model leaned Oviedo to win (38%) and called it right. Picks: Both teams to score: No lost (0.0u), Home or away won (+0.0u), U lost (0.0u), H:0 lost (-10.0u).
| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
| Away |
| Yes |
| Under |
| 52% |
“Oviedo has superior ratings (ELO 1458 vs 1337, attack 1.137 vs 0.744) and better league position (9th vs 19th), with model edge of +0.63% on away win.” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Away | Yes | Under | 55% |
“The model gives a 55.7% chance for Under 2.5 goals, and it's the market with the largest positive edge (0.005).” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Away | No | Under | 60% |
“Oviedo has a higher Elo rating (1458.1) and a stronger attack rating (1.137) compared to Cadiz's Elo (1337.0) and attack (0.744).” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Away | No | Under | 70% |
“The model favours away (Oviedo) 37.5% vs Cadiz 33.8%, and the double-chance 12 has a 71.3% model probability, making no-draw the safest play.” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Away | No | Under | 60% |
“The model's probability for under 2.5 goals is 0.5566, and the bookmakers' probability is 0.5516, indicating a slight edge for under; Cadiz's defensive rating is 1.247, suggesting they are above average defensively.” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Away | No | Under | 52% |
“The model gives a 55.66% chance of under 2.5 goals, slightly above the market's 55.16%, creating a small edge.” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.