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Spain · Segunda Division · Sat 7 Nov · 17:30
10th · 20 pts
3:0
Full time
23rd · 5 pts · -22 GD
63%
Cordoba
20%
Draw
17%
Ceuta
Bookmakers say
65% / 19% / 16%
Where we differ most
A 1%
Safest read
Home win or draw (1X) · we say 83%
Our safest read is Home win or draw (1X) at 83%; the bookmakers say 84%.
Both teams to score
58%
Over 2.5 goals
65%
Consensus
1X2
Home 100%
BTTS
Yes 100%
O/U 2.5
Over 88%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Home | Yes | Over | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Home | - | Over | - |
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cordoba | 1393 | 1.08 | 1.49 |
| Ceuta | 1362 | 0.88 | 1.47 |
Cordoba rated 31 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with ProCordoba 3-0 Ceuta. Our model leaned Cordoba to win (63%) and called it right. Picks: Both teams to score lost (0.0u), Cordoba to win won (+0.0u), O won (+0.0u), Cordoba to win won (+4.7u).
| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
| Home |
| Yes |
| Over |
| 62% |
“Cordoba's model probability of 62.92% for home win significantly outweighs Ceuta's 17.38%, supported by Cordoba's superior Elo rating (1427.5 vs 1329.1) and better recent form (2W-1L vs 1W-4L).” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Home | Yes | Over | 65% |
“Cordoba (H) has a 62.9% win probability and a 100+ point Elo rating advantage over Ceuta, who are in terrible form with four consecutive losses.” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Home | Yes | Over | 75% |
“Cordoba has a significantly higher win probability at 62.92% compared to Ceuta's 17.38%.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Home | Yes | Over | 78% |
“Model gives Cordoba a 62.92% chance to win (H=0.6292) and Ceuta only 17.38% (A=0.1738), with double-chance 1X at 82.63% (DC 1X=0.8263).” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Home | Yes | Over | 75% |
“The model gives home win probability as 0.6292, with a slight edge over the market (0.6521); home team Cordoba has a stronger attack and defence rating than away team Ceuta.” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Home | Yes | Under | 68% |
“The model shows a 0.0202 edge on under 2.5 goals (model: 34.88%, market: 32.86%) and Cordoba's defense (defence: 1.41) is stronger than Ceuta's (defence: 1.55), supporting lower scoring.” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.