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Spain · Segunda Division · Sat 7 Nov · 17:30
18th · 12 pts · -12 GD
1:3
Full time
22nd · 10 pts · -11 GD
45%
Leganes
27%
Draw
28%
Albacete
Bookmakers say
47% / 27% / 26%
Where we differ most
A 2%
Safest read
Home or away win (12) · we say 73%
Our safest read is Home or away win (12) at 73%; the bookmakers say 73%.
Both teams to score
46%
Over 2.5 goals
46%
Consensus
1X2
Home 100%
BTTS
No 100%
O/U 2.5
Under 100%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Home | No | Under | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Home | - | Under | - |
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leganes | 1359 | 0.70 | 1.15 |
| Albacete | 1367 | 0.88 | 1.22 |
Albacete rated 8 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with ProLeganes 1-3 Albacete. Our model leaned Leganes to win (45%) and got this one wrong. Picks: Both teams to score: No lost (0.0u), Home or away won (+0.0u), U lost (0.0u), Leganes to win lost (-10.0u).
| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
| Home |
| No |
| Under |
| 58% |
“Leganes has a 45.2% model probability vs Albacete's 27.5%, with a +2.38% edge on home win despite poor recent form (1W-5L).” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Home | No | Under | 65% |
“Our model gives Under 2.5 goals a 53.8% probability with a positive edge, and both teams are in poor form with weak attacks (Leganes attack 0.734, Albacete attack 0.914).” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Home | No | Under | 60% |
“Leganes has a model probability of 0.452 to win, which is higher than Albacete's 0.2747.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Home | No | Under | 65% |
“Model gives Leganés the highest single-win probability (H 0.452 vs A 0.2747 and D 0.2733) and the double-chance 12 is strongest at 0.727.” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Home | No | Under | 60% |
“Home team Leganes has a higher win probability (0.452) than away team Albacete (0.2747); Leganes is also slightly favoured in the market odds (0.4758 vs 0.2575).” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Home | No | Under | 58% |
“The model projects a 53.76% chance of under 2.5 goals, slightly above the market's implied 50.8%, creating a small positive edge.” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.