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Spain · Segunda Division · Sun 8 Nov · 15:15
5th · 24 pts · +15 GD
VS
Kick-off
2nd · 29 pts · +15 GD
48%
Girona
25%
Draw
27%
Almeria
Bookmakers say
47% / 26% / 27%
Where we differ most
H 1%
Safest read
Home or away win (12) · we say 75%
Our safest read is Home or away win (12) at 75%; the bookmakers say 74%.
Both teams to score
59%
Over 2.5 goals
55%
Consensus
1X2
Home 100%
BTTS
Yes 100%
O/U 2.5
Over 100%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Home | Yes | Over | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Home | - | Over | - |
No meetings between these clubs in our records. Our history covers recent seasons, so an older cup tie may not appear.
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Girona | 1441 | 1.42 | 0.93 |
| Almeria | 1551 | 1.43 | 1.17 |
Almeria rated 110 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with Pro| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
| Home |
| Yes |
| Over |
| 62% |
“Girona (home) has a 47.75% model probability vs Almeria's 26.97%, with a +0.98% edge.” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Home | Yes | Over | 60% |
“The model gives Girona a 47.8% win probability with a slight edge over the market, and BTTS-Yes is the strongest model signal at 59.6%.” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Home | Yes | Over | 65% |
“Girona has a strong home advantage with a model probability of 0.4775 for a home win, compared to Almeria's 0.2697 for an away win.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Home | Yes | Over | 78% |
“Model gives Girona 47.8% vs Almeria 27.0% and draw 25.3% (so home favoured); BTTS Y is 59.6% and Over 2.5 is 55.3%.” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Home | Yes | Over | 65% |
“Girona has a higher win probability (47.75%) and a stronger attack rating (1.435) compared to Almeria, indicating a likely home win; both teams have strong attack ratings, suggesting a high likelihood of both teams scoring.” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Home | Yes | Over | 78% |
“Our model shows a 55.28% chance of over 2.5 goals, with a positive edge of +0.014 against the market.” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.