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Spain · Segunda Division · Sun 8 Nov · 17:30
12th · 17 pts · -4 GD
VS
Kick-off
15th · 14 pts · -4 GD
46%
Las Palmas
26%
Draw
28%
Eldense
Bookmakers say
44% / 27% / 30%
Where we differ most
H 2%
Safest read
Home or away win (12) · we say 74%
Our safest read is Home or away win (12) at 74%; the bookmakers say 73%.
Both teams to score
50%
Over 2.5 goals
51%
Consensus
1X2
Home 100%
BTTS
No 100%
O/U 2.5
Over 75%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Home | No | Over | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Home | - | Over | - |
No meetings between these clubs in our records. Our history covers recent seasons, so an older cup tie may not appear.
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas | 1477 | 1.08 | 1.08 |
| Eldense | 1432 | 0.98 | 1.11 |
Las Palmas rated 44 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with Pro| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
| Home |
| No |
| Over |
| 58% |
“Las Palmas (ELO 1478.9) are clear favorites with 45.8% win probability and a +1.98% edge over market odds.” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Home | No | Under | 55% |
“Las Palmas has a slight model edge for a home win (45.8% vs 43.8% market) and a strong double chance probability of 72.2%, while the model slightly favors Under 2.5 goals (48.8% vs 53.0% market) and BTTS No (50.3%).” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Home | No | Over | 60% |
“Our model gives Las Palmas a 45.8% chance of winning, which is higher than the market's 43.82%.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Home | No | Over | 74% |
“Model gives Las Palmas 45.8%, draw 26.33% and Eldense 27.87%, making double-chance 12 the strongest at 73.7% model probability; BTTS is marginally No (50.27%) and OU2.5 marginally Over (51.25%).” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Home | No | Over | 65% |
“The model gives Las Palmas (home) a 45.8% chance of winning (probs.1X2.model.H), and the bookmakers' margin-adjusted odds imply a 43.82% probability; the home team is also slightly favoured by the edge (1.98%).” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Home | No | Under | 65% |
“Our model gives Las Palmas a 45.8% chance to win, with a positive edge of +0.0198 over the market's implied probability.” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.