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Spain · Segunda Division · Sun 8 Nov · 17:30
4th · 25 pts · +1 GD
VS
Kick-off
13th · 15 pts · +1 GD
44%
Sp Gijon
28%
Draw
29%
Valladolid
Bookmakers say
40% / 29% / 31%
Where we differ most
H +3%
Safest read
Home or away win (12) · we say 72%
Our safest read is Home or away win (12) at 72%; the bookmakers say 71%.
Both teams to score
51%
Over 2.5 goals
45%
Consensus
1X2
Home 100%
BTTS
Yes 86%
O/U 2.5
Under 100%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Home | Yes | Under | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Home | - | Under | - |
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sp Gijon | 1471 | 1.02 | 1.09 |
| Valladolid | 1387 | 0.78 | 1.22 |
Sp Gijon rated 84 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with Pro| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
| Home |
| Yes |
| Under |
| 62% |
“Sp Gijon has a +3.21% edge in the 1X2 market (43.61% model vs 40.4% market) and holds a significant rating advantage (ELO 1481.9 vs 1383.5).” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Home | Yes | Under | 55% |
“Model gives Under 2.5 goals a 54.6% probability with a positive edge, and Valladolid's strong defence rating (1.278) suggests a low-scoring game.” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Home | No | Under | 65% |
“Sp Gijon has a 43.61% chance of winning according to our model, significantly higher than the market's 40.4%.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Home | Yes | Under | 75% |
“Model gives Sp Gijon 43.61% vs Valladolid 28.62% (draw 27.77%) and the DC 12 probability is highest at 72.29%.” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Home | Yes | Under | 60% |
“The model gives home win probability as 0.4361, compared to away win at 0.2862; both teams to score is 0.5088, and under 2.5 goals is 0.5457.” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Home | Yes | Under | 68% |
“The model shows a positive edge (0.0127) for under 2.5 goals with a 54.57% probability, slightly higher than the market's 55.84%.” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.