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Turkey · Super Lig · Sun 8 Nov · 10:30
16th · 11 pts · -4 GD
VS
Kick-off
13th · 13 pts · -6 GD
49%
Rizespor
26%
Draw
25%
Erzurumspor
Bookmakers say
49% / 26% / 25%
Where we differ most
D 0%
Safest read
Home win or draw (1X) · we say 75%
Our safest read is Home win or draw (1X) at 75%; the bookmakers say 75%.
Both teams to score
51%
Over 2.5 goals
51%
Consensus
1X2
Home 100%
BTTS
Yes 86%
O/U 2.5
Over 88%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Home | Yes | Over | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Home | - | Over | - |
No meetings between these clubs in our records. Our history covers recent seasons, so an older cup tie may not appear.
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rizespor | 1417 | 0.96 | 1.30 |
| Erzurumspor | 1417 | 0.39 | 1.21 |
Erzurumspor rated 0 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with Pro| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
| Home |
| Yes |
| Over |
| 58% |
“Rizespor (home) has a 49.0% model probability vs Erzurumspor's 25.2%, with a slight +0.49% edge.” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Home | Yes | Under | 52% |
“Home win probability is highest at 49.5%, but the model shows a slight negative edge (-0.0049) against the market, indicating uncertainty.” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Home | Yes | Over | 65% |
“Rizespor has a higher model probability of winning at 0.4896 compared to Erzurumspor's 0.2516.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Home | Yes | Over | 75% |
“The model gives a home win 48.96% vs draw 25.88% and away 25.16%, with Double Chance 1X at 74.84%.” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Home | No | Over | 60% |
“The model gives Rizespor (home) a 48.96% chance of winning (1X2:H=0.4896), and both teams have relatively low attack ratings (Erzurumspor: 0.686, Rizespor: 0.943), suggesting a potentially low-scoring game is less likely; the OU25 market model probability is 51.29% (O=0.5129).” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Home | Yes | Over | 52% |
“The model gives a 50.88% chance for both teams to score, slightly above the bookmakers' 48.2%.” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.