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Scotland · Championship · Sat 17 Oct · 14:00
4th · 16 pts · +3 GD
2:0
Full time
8th · 11 pts · -12 GD
53%
Inverness C
24%
Draw
23%
Arbroath
Bookmakers say
odds not in yet
Where we differ most
-
Our pick
Home win · we say 53%
Early estimate. This competition has thin history in our data and no bookmaker line yet, so these numbers come from a ratings model alone. Treat them as a lean, not a call. They sharpen once odds arrive.
We rate Home win the most likely outcome on our numbers at 53%.
Both teams to score
53%
Over 2.5 goals
52%
Consensus
1X2
Home 100%
BTTS
No 60%
O/U 2.5
Under 60%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | - | - | - | - |
| oddsBookmakers | - | - | - | - |
| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Inverness C | 1446 | - | - |
| Arbroath | 1400 | - | - |
Inverness C rated 46 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with ProInverness Caledonian Thistle 2-0 Arbroath.
| Yes |
| Over |
| 62% |
“Inverness hold a 45-point ELO advantage (1445.7 vs 1400.2) and sit 2 places higher in the table with better form (3W-1D-2L vs 1W-1D-4L).” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Home | No | Under | 65% |
“Inverness has a 45-point Elo advantage and better recent form (3W, 1D, 2L vs 1W, 1D, 4L for Arbroath), while Arbroath has a -8 goal difference and has lost 4 of their last 6.” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Home | No | Under | 70% |
“Inverness CT has a significantly higher ELO rating of 1445.7 compared to Arbroath's 1400.2.” | ||||
| punditGLM 4.6 (Chen) | Home | No | Under | 65% |
“Inverness have superior form (3W 1D 2L vs 1W 1D 4L) and a higher Elo rating (1445.7 vs 1400.2).” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Home | Yes | Over | 65% |
“Inverness are stronger on Elo (1445.7 vs 1400.2) and form (Inverness 3W-1D-2L vs Arbroath 1W-1D-4L) and sit 6th with 13 pts v Arbroath 8th with 11 pts, so home win/draw is likeliest.” | ||||
| punditGrok 4 Fast (Elon) | Home | No | Under | 42% |
“Inverness hold a clear edge via higher Elo (1445.7 vs 1400.2), better table position (6th/13pts vs 8th/11pts) and stronger recent form with three wins in six.” | ||||
| punditKimi K2 (Peng) | Home | No | Under | 62% |
“Inverness have taken 10 points from their last six games and hold a 45.5 ELO-point edge (1445.7 vs 1400.2), whereas Arbroath have managed only four points from their last six and failed to score in three consecutive away matches.” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Home | No | Under | 65% |
“Home team Inverness Caledonian Thistle has a higher Elo rating (1445.7 vs 1400.2) and is in a better table position (6th vs 8th), indicating a likely home win.” | ||||
| punditMistral Medium 3.1 (Arthur) | Home | Yes | Over | 75% |
“Inverness have better form (3W, 1D, 2L) and higher ELO (1445.7 vs 1400.2).” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Home | Yes | Over | 68% |
“Inverness has won 3 of their last 6 with strong home form (3 wins in 4), while Arbroath has lost 4 of their last 6, including 3 straight away defeats.” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.