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USA · Major League Soccer · Wed 14 Oct · 23:30
3:1
Full time
41%
Columbus Crew
26%
Draw
32%
Charlotte
Bookmakers say
48% / 24% / 28%
Where we differ most
A +4%
Our pick
Home win or draw (1X) · we say 68%
Home win is our most likely single outcome at 41%, but not a majority call, so the pick is the double chance on the home side or the draw at 68%.
Both teams to score
64%
Over 2.5 goals
60%
Consensus
1X2
Away 82%
BTTS
Yes 100%
O/U 2.5
Over 64%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Home | Yes | Over | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Home | Yes | Over | - |
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with ProColumbus Crew 3-1 Charlotte. Our model leaned Columbus Crew to win (41%) and called it right. Picks: A:-1 lost (-10.0u), Charlotte to win lost (-10.0u), Charlotte to win lost (-10.0u), Charlotte to win lost (-10.0u).
| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 | Away | Yes | Over | 62% |
“Charlotte has superior form (3W-1D-2L vs Columbus 2W-3L), better table position (4th vs 25th), and stronger ratings (ELO 1337.8 vs 1275.1).” | ||||
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 | Away | Yes | Under | 65% |
“The model gives Charlotte a 37.9% win probability with a positive edge (0.0987) and a 66.34% chance for a double chance '12', while Columbus has a negative edge (-0.14) for a home win.” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash | Away | Yes | Over | 75% |
“Charlotte has a significantly higher model probability of winning at 37.9% compared to Columbus Crew's 33.66%.” | ||||
| punditGLM 4.6 | Away | Yes | Over | 78% |
“Charlotte is clearly superior (Elo 1337.8 vs 1275.1, 4th vs 25th), yet the market prices them as underdogs with an X2 probability of just 52.3%.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini | Away | Yes | Over | 70% |
“The model gives Charlotte (A) 37.90% vs Columbus 33.66% with a draw at 28.44%, and the model's double-chance 12 (no draw) is 71.56%, making DC 12 the clearest value.” | ||||
| punditGrok 4 Fast | Away | Yes | Under | 47% |
“Model prices Charlotte at 37.9% vs market 28.0% (edge +9.9%), supported by higher Elo (1338 vs 1275) and table rank (4th/25pts vs 25th/13pts).” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick | Away | Yes | Under | 55% |
“The model shows a positive edge of 0.0987 for Charlotte, who are 4th in the table with 25 pts compared to Columbus Crew in 25th with 13 pts.” | ||||
| punditMistral Medium 3.1 | Away | Yes | Over | 75% |
“Charlotte's model probability (0.379) and higher Elo (1337.8) vs Columbus (1275.1) favor away win.” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B | Away | Yes | Under | 65% |
“The model predicts a 44.02% chance of under 2.5 goals, significantly higher than the market's 36.3%, creating a strong edge.” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.