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USA · Major League Soccer · Wed 14 Oct · 23:30
0:3
Full time
37%
CF Montreal
29%
Draw
34%
Atlanta United FC
Bookmakers say
41% / 26% / 34%
Where we differ most
D +3%
Our pick
Home win or draw (1X) · we say 66%
Home win is our most likely single outcome at 37%, but not a majority call, so the pick is the double chance on the home side or the draw at 66%.
Both teams to score
58%
Over 2.5 goals
52%
Consensus
1X2
Away 64%
BTTS
No 82%
O/U 2.5
Under 82%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Home | Yes | Over | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Home | Yes | Over | - |
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with ProCF Montreal 0-3 Atlanta United FC. Our model leaned CF Montreal to win (37%) and got this one wrong. Picks: A:-1 won (+2.4u), U lost (-10.0u), U lost (-10.0u), Both teams to score: No won (+16.0u).
| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 | Away | No | Under | 62% |
“Model favors Under 2.5 (61.43%) with strong +23.49% edge over market (37.94%), while 1X2 shows tight three-way split (H: 31.79%, D: 33.31%, A: 34.89%).” | ||||
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 | Away | No | Under | 58% |
“The model gives a strong 0.1846 edge for BTTS No (52.6% vs market 34.2%), and both teams have poor recent form, suggesting a low-scoring game.” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash | Away | No | Under | 70% |
“The model predicts Under 2.5 goals with a 61.43% probability, which is significantly higher than the market's 37.94%.” | ||||
| punditGLM 4.6 | Away | No | Under | 60% |
“The model strongly favors under 2.5 goals with a probability of 0.6143, creating a significant edge of 0.2349 against the market's over 2.5 probability of 0.6206.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini | Away | No | Under | 65% |
“Model double-chance X2 = 0.6821 (68.21%) vs 12 = 0.6669 and 1X = 0.6511, so X2 is the strongest single play.” | ||||
| punditGrok 4 Fast | Away | No | Under | 62% |
“Model OU25 Under at 0.6143 vs market 0.3794 (edge +0.235) is the clearest value, backed by both weak attacks (0.53/0.78).” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick | Draw | No | Under | 45% |
“The model shows a significant edge of 0.2349 for Under 2.5 goals, with a model probability of 0.6143 versus market 0.3794.” | ||||
| punditMistral Medium 3.1 | Away | No | Under | 65% |
“Model gives Atlanta 34.89% win chance vs market 33.87%, and their attack (0.786) outclasses Montreal's defence (1.539).” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B | Draw | No | Under | 85% |
“Our model gives a 52.61% chance for under 2.5 goals and 52.61% for neither team to score, with a significant 18.46% edge on BTTS No, indicating strong value in backing low-scoring dynamics based on defensive ratings and recent form.” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.