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USA · Major League Soccer · Wed 14 Oct · 23:30
2:1
Full time
44%
DC United
28%
Draw
29%
Red Bull New York
Bookmakers say
50% / 24% / 26%
Where we differ most
D +4%
Our pick
Home win or draw (1X) · we say 72%
Home win is our most likely single outcome at 44%, but not a majority call, so the pick is the double chance on the home side or the draw at 72%.
Both teams to score
58%
Over 2.5 goals
53%
Consensus
1X2
Away 82%
BTTS
Yes 64%
O/U 2.5
Under 64%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Home | Yes | Over | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Home | Yes | Over | - |
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with ProDC United 2-1 New York Red Bulls. Our model leaned DC United to win (44%) and called it right. Picks: A:-1 pushed, U lost (-10.0u), New York Red Bulls to win lost (-10.0u), New York Red Bulls to win lost (-10.0u).
| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 | Away | Yes | Over | 62% |
“New York Red Bulls have a significant edge with model probability 0.4168 vs market 0.2597 (15.71% edge), superior attack rating (1.732 vs 0.723), and recent form (4-1 win).” | ||||
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 | Away | Yes | Under | 65% |
“The model gives New York Red Bulls a 41.7% win probability with a strong positive edge of 15.7% over the market, supported by their superior attack rating (1.743 vs 0.731) and DC United's poor recent form (one win in six).” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash | Away | No | Under | 75% |
“The model gives New York Red Bulls a 41.68% chance of winning, significantly higher than the market's 25.97%.” | ||||
| punditGLM 4.6 | Away | No | Under | 65% |
“The model favors Under 2.5 goals at 53.6% with a 16.5% edge over the market's 37.1%.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini | Away | Yes | Under | 72% |
“Model gives New York (away) 41.68% vs DC United 27.67% (draw 30.65%), and the double-chance X2 has model probability 72.33%, so DC/X2 is the strongest edge; BTTS is slightly favoured (Y 52.98%) while under 2.5 is marginally preferred (U 53.63%).” | ||||
| punditGrok 4 Fast | Away | Yes | Under | 54% |
“Model favors away (0.4168) with +0.157 edge and X2 at 0.7233, while OU25 under sits at 0.5363 model vs 0.3712 market (+0.165 edge).” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick | Away | No | Under | 65% |
“Model probability for Away win (0.4168) is significantly higher than market (0.2597), with a strong X2 DC probability of 0.7233.” | ||||
| punditMistral Medium 3.1 | Away | Yes | Over | 75% |
“Model gives Red Bulls 41.7% win chance vs DC United's 27.7%, and Red Bulls have superior attack (1.743) and better recent form (W4-1).” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B | Away | No | Under | 85% |
“The model gives a 41.68% chance of an away win versus the market's 25.97%, showing strong edge.” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.