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USA · Major League Soccer · Thu 15 Oct · 01:30
1:1
Full time
48%
Real Salt Lake
26%
Draw
26%
San Jose Earthquakes
Bookmakers say
52% / 23% / 25%
Where we differ most
D +3%
Our pick
Home win or draw (1X) · we say 74%
Home win is our most likely single outcome at 48%, but not a majority call, so the pick is the double chance on the home side or the draw at 74%.
Both teams to score
61%
Over 2.5 goals
58%
Consensus
1X2
Home 100%
BTTS
Yes 73%
O/U 2.5
Under 55%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Home | Yes | Over | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Home | Yes | Over | - |
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with ProReal Salt Lake 1-1 San Jose Earthquakes. Our model leaned Real Salt Lake to win (48%) and got this one wrong. Picks: A:-1 won (+5.5u), U won (+17.0u), Both teams to score won (+4.5u), U won (+17.0u).
| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 | Home | Yes | Over | 58% |
“Real Salt Lake are favored at 47.7% (model) vs 51.6% (market), but the clearest edge is BTTS Yes at 61.4% (model) vs 66% (market odds), suggesting value.” | ||||
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 | Home | Yes | Under | 58% |
“The model gives a 41.6% chance for Under 2.5 goals with a +6.7% edge over the market, and the home win probability is only 47.7% with a negative edge, making the under more confident.” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash | Home | Yes | Over | 65% |
“Real Salt Lake has a 47.74% chance of winning according to our model, significantly higher than San Jose Earthquakes' 26.33%.” | ||||
| punditGLM 4.6 | Home | No | Under | 60% |
“The model shows a significant edge for Under 2.5 goals at 0.0667, while also favoring No for both teams to score.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini | Home | Yes | Over | 68% |
“The model gives Real Salt Lake 47.74%, draw 25.94% and San Jose 26.33%; double chance 12 is 74.11% so avoiding the draw is the strongest play.” | ||||
| punditGrok 4 Fast | Home | Yes | Under | 38% |
“Model OU25 under at 0.4159 holds +0.0667 edge vs market 0.3492, the clearest value; 1X2 home 0.4774 remains likeliest but negative edge and RSL's 1W-5L form keep confidence low.” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick | Home | No | Under | 65% |
“The model gives home win probability as 0.4774, away win as 0.2633, and draw as 0.2594; home team is slightly favored.” | ||||
| punditMistral Medium 3.1 | Home | Yes | Under | 65% |
“Model gives home win 47.74% vs market 51.6%, but home team has stronger attack (0.701) and better recent form (1 win in last 6).” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B | Home | No | Under | 68% |
“The model gives a 38.6% chance of no goals from both teams (BTTS: N) versus the market at 34.02%, showing a positive edge of +4.58%.” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.